Where is it now?
Single-stock deep dive
Analyze
One search: where a stock is now, where the models think it might go, and when you would sell.
Heads up: next-day moves are mostly noise — even a good model barely beats a coin flip at this range. The baselines below show whether it does.
Type a symbol or a company name — e.g. AAPL, TSLA, or "Intel". ⚡ 2 tokens · 1 forecast + 1 fair value Re-checking the same stock's fair value this month is free. Forecast uses your 3 free tokens; fair value needs a free account.
Markets today
At a glance
Where might it go?
When would I sell?
Forecast
Where might it go?
Running Model 1.1, Model 2.1, and Model 3…
0%
Forecast running, usually under two minutes: downloading stock, SPY & VIX data, preparing features, training both models, and building forecasts.
·
30-day horizon · trained fresh on request
Model 1.1
Stock technicals
—
Predicted 30-day return
Predicted price
—
Model details
MAE —
RMSE —
R² —
Dir. Acc. —
Model 2.1
Market-aware · SPY + VIX
—
Predicted 30-day return
Predicted price
—
Model details
MAE —
RMSE —
R² —
Dir. Acc. —
Model 3
Ensemble · 1.1 + 2.1 + sentiment
—
Predicted 30-day return
Predicted price
—
Model details
M1.1 (45%) —
M2.1 (55%) —
Sentiment —
Headlines —
✓ All three predictions were saved because the ticker is on your watchlist. Their results feed the model accuracy summary under History once their forecast horizon resolves.
Fair value
Where is it now?
Fundamentals-based estimate — a band, not a magic number.
Checking fair value...
Fair value range
Fundamentals-based estimate — a band, not a magic number.
Exit discipline
Hype Check Premium
Hype Check is a Premium feature — upgrade to see whether a stock's premium is earned by fundamentals or pure hype.
—
/ 100 justified
News-sentiment layer · earned ≠ won't drop — this judges whether the premium is justified, not next-quarter price direction.
Warnings
See the math
Method Breakdown
Exit plan
When would I sell?
The take-profit zone is fair value × 1.10 to × 1.30; the signal is about valuation, not timing.
Exit Discipline
New to this? Beginner's guide to these signals
- Fair-value label
- Undervalued means the price sits below our fair-value estimate (potentially cheap), Overvalued means above it (potentially expensive), Fairly Valued is roughly in line, and Insufficient Data means we couldn't estimate it confidently.
- Confidence
- How much to trust the estimate — High / Medium / Low — based on how much clean financial data was available. Treat Low-confidence calls lightly.
- Exit signal
- Plain action guidance: from Buy Zone / Accumulate (looks like a place to add), through Hold and Watch Carefully / Do Not Chase, to Trim / Exit Most (looks stretched).
- Take-profit zone
- The price band — fair value × 1.10 to × 1.30 — where the exit rule starts talking about trimming. Below it, the rule says hold; inside it, it weighs momentum before suggesting a trim.
- Hype check
- The Premium news-sentiment layer: it judges whether a stock's premium is earned by fundamentals or pure hype — not next-quarter price direction.
- Momentum risk
- Elevated or High means the stock has run up a lot, fast — which can mean a bigger chance of a pullback.
- Volatility
- How much the price swings. Higher volatility means bigger moves both up and down — more risk, not just more potential reward.
More definitions are on the Learn page.
Performance Comparison
How each model has scored on resolved predictions at the selected horizon.
Loading…